The Tulia Herald (Tulia, Tex.), Vol. 69, No. 1, Ed. 1 Thursday, January 6, 1977 Page: 4 of 20
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I’AGI I OUR
Dear Editor:
The highest honor of my
life ha* been to verve a* your
President
A* you kmm, Belly and I
will hr leaving the White
Hoove in a few day* A* I
look bark over lhe*e lavi 29
month*. I can hone*ll> *ay
that they've been the mo»f
rewarding of my 2K year
career in government
Rut before I leave office. I
would likr to vhare vome
personal thought* with you,
F ir*t of all. I would like you
In have three photograph*
which record moment* of the
Presidency I will alway* re
member and Ireaturr
i am doing thi* b»>»u*e in
a very prr*onal wav I would
like to eipre** my deep and
vimere thank* for all of the
help and vypporl I have
reieivrd from people like
you.
I hi* *up|xirt ha* meant a
lot to me prrtonally and to
Hc 'ty and my family And I
vimrrrly hojie you and other
Iriend* will enjoy having
iheve photograph* a* a token
of my great apprec laticm
In a lew day* a new
administration will come to
power in Wa»hingion
I and all American* will
want to give them our full
patriotic vupport But at the
tame time, each of u* ha* a
duty to protect and defend
the political economic, and
per von a I freedom* that we
chemh and which have made
our country the envy of the
world
Unfortunately, I believe
theve freedom* will be *e
verely challenged by a < on
grew*, controlled by Demo
crata, which could be a
di»a»trr for thi* country
During my Presidency. I
uvrcl the veto over 60 time*
to *top a virtual floudtidr of
irre*puti»ibke and dangrrou*
legivlation coming from a
( ongrr** dominated by a
2 to I Democratic majority
Hut thi* Presidential veto
i» now out of our hand*
Do you remember when I
wrote to you during the
campaign la»l fall? I vai.l
then that the 1976 DrmocTa
tic Party platform wa» mure
radical than the 1172 McOo>
ern platform Nothing ha*
changed my mind
In the rye it *r**ion of
( ongrr**. the Democrat* will
move quukly to pa*« their
1976 platform into law
They will demand maj<*
reduction* in our national
defence fhev will propose a
new national health mvur
ance plan with umverval and
mandatory coverage
If Ihl* platform l* paveed
into law it will create vavt
new bureaucratic agencies
cauve government deficit
vprnding to skyrocket fuel
the fire* of inflation, and
seriously impede the econo
mu recovery of America
Worst ot all. it would
sharply reduce our military
drfenae* to a point that
wrArld he dangrrou* to the
vafety of thi* country
Over the layl few werky I
have met with many Party
leader*, including ( ongrrcc
man Guv Vander Jagt ( hair
man of the Natiotial Ki jmbli
can ( otigrevvional ( onimil
tee Wr di»cu**ed Ihl* ur
gent viluatum amt mapped
out a political strategy lor the
nr*t two year*
A* a rrvult the ( oniniiltre
ha* r*tahli*hed a vpecial
M 1,1 '“"i i‘* (
gr< -ssional ( amjiaign fund to
finance vome major and lira
malic new %trp* to break the
Ike
-----------H. M. BAGGARLY
((■•nlinurd from Page Onr»
liberal i* an all enconipa«*ing word whkh
include* everything front a Mu««ian Marxist
to an ordinary Weyl li cay horve thief
S NtJI J D AHOV I . the KryublU tnc and
convervaliyi Democrat* who try to
take over the Deinncralk primaries in Teta*
every two year* and almost alway* are
vutorioo*. arc ANYTHING hut liberal and
certainly W |m i cent of tho*e they elect arr
anything hut liberal
Yet. Iivirtt to the lubhiuk Avalanche
Journal "Te*a* lilveral* finally have gained
control of tlx- Mate Democratic Party
mat Inner*. a goal that had eluded them for a
generation, hut Ihl* doe* not in any wav
avvure that 1c*a* voter* will go along with
Ihove who are in the driver'* *eat
"I ihetalv" an 1 lihctal leaning "moder
ate*" raptured two third* of the veal* on the
Slate Dcmoclatit I *rcullvr ( omniltlee
" Ihrv wreeled control from Ihr con*cr
value and eernse rvativr leaning moderate*
who tiaditionallv have held jumrr in Teta*
and who. lor the most part rcprevent the
vtalr't nonomiv r*tahli«hnienl
*'■ I IIMIh A I Of wf arm lariating by and
1 on lx half of <»oy Dolph Hiiv.oe to get
hiy man. ( alvin (>ue*l. re elected a* vhair
man of ih> S()| ( by a londortablc margin.
'The email vktory. however, dor* not
hide the lad that Ihr liberal* can and will
tall the *hcH« on any matter* of importance
i M ili« i*.’ im mher M>l ( 2R arr c lavsifxd av
liberal* (including extreme liberal*) and 16
a* model ate* who normally vote with the
liberal*
"Only IK can he c!a*«ified a* oon*erva-
ttve*.
"Thi* i* a tar cry from the da4» when
the con*rrvativr* were in «uc h complete
control that liberal* were allowed Into the
pail* ruling tire lev wwly out wf a cr»w wf fair
plat , (I niphavi* our* Ho' Mo' Mo'I
1 ■> RFCKNT YFARV however, the
■ ccvnvcrvatlve and centerline mcHlrralr*
s. t,, >V. .1 III. battle prrlc rung to let
the radical* and the liberal* hold vwav.
' 1 hi* iv what the liberal* alway* »atd
the* wauled, lor (hr eonvervalive* to 'get
over into the Republican part* where they
belong or. belter vltll. to become tndepen
dent* who would vote for Democratic
nominee* a* a rule but not me»» around with
(tying to vet polity or write platform*
"lb*- (renege McGovern and Jimmy
(aMcr lollowcr*. who man* cat arr even
more Hbcral than the MrGovernttc* of I97J,
miw vontiol the Democratic Party in Teta*
' Hut the qurstkvn remain* 'In control
ling the jvaMy. juvt what do they control?' "
• OIIIIKI SOI have It. Note the linking
^Ptogi thr r ol McGovern and Carter a* a
dryicc lor imprr**ing the little old women in
Irnni* *hv<ey and little c4d men whc> move
their lip* when they read IVrhap* the nvo*t
llav k l artrr ha* received up to now ta
coming from thovc who charge that hi*
«|i|kNnim are "lo*> tontcrvalive."
If you were a convervattve. had moved
tolubbock, leva*, knew N01 MIN(i of Teta*
politic \ and read IMI \ the Lubbock paper,
what kind c4 an impression would vou get of
the leva* Ih-mocraik Party? What part*
would vou logically affiliate with?
Om allegation quoted above we particu-
larly recent the liberal*. It *av». would
preler that the convervattve* become mdc
pendent* (invtead of Rrpuhlkan*) who
would vote he Democratic nominee* at a
rule but not met* around with trying to vet
jvolk* or wnir platform*
Inirpendrnt* arr battard* We would
not like to tee the morality of our ttalr
decline Hv embracing Republicanivm. at
least the "independent*" would have a
tamily name,
£MW.l IS OFTEN an gradual that H
wM-., Idcxn d ever makes the front page
certainly not the headline*. When did vou
ever ter a timely ttorv on the declining birth
• ate. a changing life style?
Oh. ten year* after it happened we look
hack and note what happened, after it i* no
longer new*.
We earned a store in last week * paper
whkh noted that children being bom in 1977
will m many instance* be alive and well—we
hope—in 2050.
We wouldn t dare tpeculate what kind
of a world these youngster* will find in
2050 but there are indications a* to what
thev will find by the time thee are teenager*
Ullt St HOI IIS. MIR r»ample. an- grow
Wing in number I hi* doesn't mean m«*f>
marriage*, more people, more family unit*
a* we mm know them It will simply mean
mure household* in which the occupant* an
all women ur all men. also unwed couples,
living together Mouveh<4ds are rven now
growing much lavter than the |Mij>ulation
f hi* trend ta expected to continue at least
through Ihr IKtOs
Households are said to hr different
nowadays They are composed of new mucs
( hildrrn with onr parent |terhap* divorced,
unrelated people
• III HIKIIIRAII I* rasing off. I a»l v ear,
■ 12 |>er cent of married women age 20 24
had hahie*. lew than halt the number that
had them in the I4SO* Over 40 per cent ot
voting married women today are childless
Fifteen year* ago only 25 per tent were
childlrv* Hig lanulir* (three or four child
rrnl arr passe I hi* means that the time i* in
sight when death* will about equal births in
the U S at least within the lifetime* ot
hahtr* ht*rn in 1477,
Meanwhile, population will continue to
grow, reaching 240 milium hv 1440 I hi* i*
an increase of 12 per cent hut significant
i» Ihr dillcruuvc in llw age mi* largest
group will be between 15-44 vear* old. now
55 nullum, by I94<) ’K million
Nr*l larges) increase will he those 65
and over. six million ntorv. retired but still
active, most of them with tairlv good
incomes from pensions, savings, sec urines,
annuities, social security Wc'tc gome to
have a grow in, number id retiree* and a
shrinking number of person* paving in to
Social Security What then’
Youngvtrr* will not increase as rapidly,
only a small rise, perhaps three million
undri age five Those of grade school age
will actually decline a* will teenager* Sc hool
enrollment* will slide between now and
|4*H) | hen II hi h ss demand lot new
schools teacher*, supplies, teaching mater
lal*. and the like
Rtll'l I ATION WIST, almost rears stale
will grow, parltv ularlv ( aldorma. Hot
ida and Texas least growth will he in New
York. Pennsylvania. Illinois Ohio Mtchi
gan. and New Jersey Most spectacular
growth will he in the South and West
Hig metropolitan areas will lose popu
latum, not just the big cities but whole-
metropolitan areas Fuufu* from the big
elites t* nothing new F«odu* from the
suburbs IS new Since |4'0, about 131
person* base left the metropolitan areas lor
escry 100 coming in During the |4tv0\. I0t>
moved in fesr ecers 44 moving out
The people are moving still farther out.
to medium sized cities and towns where they
work in new jdant* and industries locating in
the boondock* They want easier being
better climate leg rearing kids, less hustle-
bustle. less e-emgesinm. less ccpensise being
cost*, recrratkvn areas
Between now and 1440 there will be
fewer opportunities for teachers econo
mist*, mathmaikians. librarians, historian*
and ESPECIALLY scuial vmvr majors
There will be bus man* college grads A
great demand will etist few skilled crafts
men. especially those with vewattonal train
mg Competition few job* at all levels will
intensify.
W^FSPITF SMALL** families and fewer
mamagec, there will be more births
out of wedlcvk There'll he one divorce for
every two marriages Only ten years ago it
was one divorce foe ever* four mamage-s
The*e are vornr of the problems to be
faced by this year's crop of hahw* h* the
time the* are teetiager*. perhaps already
eyeing the future as the* consuler what to do
with thrir live*
AT THIS L.ATF dale we learn that Rabrrt
Dole was a founding member of the
Natumal Council csf the John Birch Society'
The Republican* kept that prettv quiet,
didn't the** He had all the John Birch
credential*, panel member at the Fifth
Human Fcent* Nitsal Actum Conference,
member of Manusn Forum. tx> mentum onlc
two
And thi* man. who would hace been
only a heartbeat from the Presiderki. was
considered by the Reagan peespie to hace
been from the "liberal wing" of the parts!
Ye*, a* they *a>. God protect* little
children and fool*'
I HI TULIA (Swisher County) HERALD
THURSDAY. JANUARY 6. 1977
Babson. ..
t( oniinued From Page One)
from a hike in OPM ml
pneev and the possibility of
even higher price* for do
mestk natural ga«. There
will also he pressure on
industrial wholesale price* in
the wake of climbing wage*
and mher operating cost*
In addition th»- labor front
will be active again Bevidcv
Ihr steel industry, the rail
road* and some construe turn
group* face contract negati
attons On the international
scene, there will hr military
and monetary points that
must be carefully watched.
GROSS
NAflONAI PRODOCT
I S gross nali mal priwfuct
ItiNI’l the value of goods
and servkes produced in
cur lent dollars should he
able to score an increase
approtmialing I 2*• over
li1! Ibis is not widely at
variance from the rate of
i xpansion scored by (»NP in
ll^b over I47S
lie cause of the pattern of
year ago growth during
1976 sizable margin in the
first quarters, hut disap-
jMiintingly modest gains in
the ensuing three quarterly
periods the GNP in 1977
may well score its widest
improvement during the sec
ond quarter
In terms of constant do!
lars tea inflation!, the na
lion s real GNP will move
ahead at a milder jiace The
rale of inflation is cipcctrd
to account for about half the
GNP hi current dollars,
which means lhat the real
(iNP may increase by only
alxiut 6*. ewer the deflated
GNP of lu’tt Although such
an increment mas seem mod-
erate' it would actually rep-
resent a respectable annual
rise in terms of the econ-
omy's historical rate ol
growth
SI KI NG1 II I RUM I III
PRD A I F SI ( I OK
A vital feature of the
outlook for |4"*7 business is
the likelihood that the hulk ot
the anticipated upthrust will
stem from the private sector
c4 the economy. ( on*umcr
expenditures for personal
consumption should be in the
forefront of the rise in the
(iNP
User much of I4“’fy, con-
sumers have been reluctant
to bus. hut the stall ol
H.ihsoo's Reports looks fni
some loose mug of pun.:
strings in the year ahead
there should he good sup
port from residential con-
struction too, especially since
multi lamils units have
shown*sicns --I .i rebound in
Democratic stranglehold on
Congress
This tuncl will he used to
identify and recruit the most
outstanding and articulate
candklalcs our Parts can tind
and then provide them with
the early and maximum poll
deal and financial support
they need to win
Unless, wc can assure- our
candidates ol this carls and
lull supjtort we will not
succeed in detcating en-
ds-lie hed well finance-d De-
mos tats and breaking the
stranglehold on ( ongress
I his is the last time I will
write you as vout President.
I am doing so. today,
because ol ms deep concern
over the luturv economic and
jMdidcal direction ot our
coeinlrv
As I I,h4c hac k on the
c-yc-nis c4 the last 24 months.
I believe the time has come,
as never before, to make a
major and lundanu-ntal
change in Washington and it
can only cv<mc about through
the e-lc-vdoii ol a Republican
('ongrr**
Unless wc have almost a
100 '• response from cewtri
butors and supporters of our
Party. I know it will be
imjvossihle- O' meet this fi-
nancial geval
This is why I am cswindng
on vchi lo help the ( omniittre
sueccsslullv raise" Its 14""*
GOP (iHigressk*nal Cam-
paign Fund,
Although Hetty and I will
be le-avmg the White House
shortly. I will not be leaving
politic s I intend lev weirk
close ly with Guv \ ander Jagt
as we develop a winning
straicg, tor Republicans in
|9>
I slronglv urge- \e>ur full
finan> Mil suppevn of this spe-
cial (>OP Campaign Fund hv
sending your maximum oem-
tnbution today in the- endm-
ed reply eneeleip*-
Wuhevut vevur help, we wdl
not suevessfullv revruit out
standing Republican candi
dates, rebuild our Party at
the grass nxte level and win
mate* and substantial Re-
publican vklortes in the next
ekvoons.
Sinc-rrelv,
GFR.AID R FORD
the latter cay* of 1976.
whereas most of the come
back in home building had
previously been borne by
• ingle family unit*.
Spending on service*, long
in a well defined uptrend,
should continue to move
higher.
There will be increased
government spending, but
this will not bolster demand
for good* substantially as
much of the rise in outlay*
must be allocated for wage*,
dumbing price* for supplies,
and debt service.
INFLATION WILL RFMAJ.N
WOKKISOMF
In 1976 some progress was
made in the task of braking
the inflation rate Much cred-
it must be accorded the food
veetirr. which benefited from
another bumper outturn of
agricultural product*. In the
second half ot 1976, how-
ever. price* of industrial
commodities Um4i a turn up-
ward.
Though the fever of infla-
tion has been dramatically
lowered from the heights of
19 ) ami 1974, u has not
heen completely beaten into
submission The tempo of
inflation during 1977 it ex-
pected to average around 6%
showing little change from
that of 1976.
While the-re- is still consid-
erable underutilized pro-
ductive capacity to militate
against a sharp resurgence of
inflation, a downward ten
denev in food price* will not
be notable in the year ahead.
Furthermore, increases in
wages and operating expen-
ses w ill he- reflected in price
mark ups. tempered only by
the- limiting factor of com-
petition.
Hence, in public psychol-
ogy, nidation will undoubt-
edly continue- to be a dark
threat Such concern could
become greatly aggravated if
government spe-nding and
expansion of the* money sup-
ply should he emphasized in
an effort to solve the serious
uncmplovment problem.
I Mil STKIA1 PRODUl TION
During much of 197b. in-
dustrial output trended up-
ward. Hut some hesitancy
was se-e-n in the late summer
and early fall due in part to
the auto strike- and the
dc> -Icration in the economy.
The pause in the recovery of
industrial activity, however,
should be supplanted by
renewed vitality during the
first six months of 1977.
The outcome of labor talk*
in the steel industry and the
magnitude of strike-hedge
inventory accumulation will,
of course, determine the
profile of the production
curve in the second half of
the year A long strike would
hurt industrial output, but
the absorption of steel inven-
tunes durihg the stoppage
would result in a rebound
after the strike. On the other
hand, if a walkout were brief
or entirely averted industnal
production should be well
maintained, althcugh up-
ward momentum would pro-
bably be checked until stock-
piles were digested.
For much of 1976. year-to-
year monthly compirisonv of
industrial production showed
substantial margins of gain
over 1975 simply because the
early portion of 1975 saw
industrial output in a sharp
slump While the remaining
months enjoyed a rebound,
production rates were still
well below the- 19’V|9'’4
peak range.
Year-ago comparisons in
1977 will reveal more limited
gains, but the net result for
the full year should be an
increase of about 4% over
1976. This will not match the
expected climb in the real
GNP because the production
index does not include ser-
vices—and make work pro-
grams to reduce the jobless
ranks will doubtless emphas-
ize service-type employment.
Still, industrial production
will move into new high
ground, at least during the
first half of the new year.
Among the stronger lines
should be autos and trucks,
motor be hide parts (both
original and replacement
items), aluminum, fabricated
metal products, lumber and
forest products, computer
and peripheral equipment,
home furnishings, and min-
erals extraction (assuming no
protracted coal mine strike).
CHANGE IN
INVENTORY POLICIES?
During parts of 197J and
1974. businessmen unwisely
stockpiled inventories in an-
ticipation of higher prices
and possible shortages, and
at a time of already brisk
demand. This demand sus-
tained business at a peak
level sonic- six months or so.
but when the inevitable cor-
rection arrived, virtual panic
liquidation predipitated the
painful recession of late 1974
and early 197S.
Since then, inventory pol-
icies have been wary. Until
recently, there has been little
incentive to do much in the
way of forward buying. After
all. consumer demand has
been indecisive and spotty,
prices have ruled on the
weak side, and there has
been more than enough pro-
ductive capacity for most
items.
But some inventory ac-
cumulation is likely, much of
this in steel and ferrous-
based products as a hedge-
against a possible steel
strike. Stronger consumer
demand and the upturn in
industrial commodity prices
will also encourage forward
buying, though we doubt
that inventory accumulation
will be carried to excess.
MORE SUPPORT
FROM CAPITAL SPENDING
Economic observers who
have been skeptical of the
lasting power of the current
business recovery point to
the lack of vibrancy in busi-
ness investment for new
(Continued On Page Five)
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Baggarly, H. M. The Tulia Herald (Tulia, Tex.), Vol. 69, No. 1, Ed. 1 Thursday, January 6, 1977, newspaper, January 6, 1977; Tulia, Texas. (https://texashistory.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metapth506160/m1/4/: accessed July 9, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, The Portal to Texas History, https://texashistory.unt.edu.; crediting Swisher County Library.