Texas Regional Outlook, 2002: The Coastal Bend Region Page: 14
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The Coastal Bend Region
economic structure is known as shift-share
analysis.
Like the location quotient, the approach in
shift-share analysis is to develop a standard
through which to assess if the currently observed
level of industry concentration in a region is
higher than expected, about what should be
expected, or less than expected. If local employ-
ment is greater than might otherwise be expect-
ed, then the region has demonstrated some
strength in attracting the growth of that industry.
In practice, the yardstick usually employed is
changes in each industry in the national econo-
my, modified somewhat for local conditions.
One result of shift-share analysis is the
"regional industry growth differential." This
measure is the ratio of what employment in an
industry in the region actually was in the most
recent period divided by what industry employ-
ment would have been if it had historically
grown at the same rate as the industry did across
the nation. The interpretation of this measure ofTABLE 4
Industry Growth Differentials in the Coastal Bend Region
for Industries with at least 200 Employees in 2000Regional
Industry Growth
DifferentialIndustry
Average Annual
Employment Growth
1980-200014 Texas Regional Outlook
MisCellaneous Plastics Products 4.58 9.8%
Miscellaneous Plastics Products
Ship and Boat Building and Repairing
Fabricated Structural Metal Products
Educational Services
Petroleum Refining
Industrial Chemicals
Plastics Materials and Synthetics
Air Transportation
Luggage, Handbags and Leather Products
State Government
Local and Interurban Passenger Transit
Individual and Miscellaneous Social Services 1.46.5.6%
Child Day Care Services
Job Training and Related Services
Membership Organizations 1.46.3.5%
Residential Care
Nursing and Personal Care Facilities
Health Services _6
Hospitals
Offices of Health Practitioners
FarmSOURCES: Carole Keeton Rylander, Texas State Comptroller of Public Accounts; and REMI.
4.58
3.44
2.75
2.41
2.36
2.10
2.10
2.01
1.85_
1.77 -
1.64
.. . . ... . .. ...... ................. ...... . ..1.. .
1.46
1.46
1.4 6......
1.46
1.42
1.42
1.42
1.42
1.339.8%
4.2%
4..... . 2%....................
7.3%
0.6%
8.2%
(0.9) %
3.6%
5.2%
........ .......... 6 %.. . ... ..
5.5%
4.8%
....... ....... %.. . .
8.2%
4.2%
8.6%
5.2%
(0.3) %dynamic growth potential is that it represents the
number of times larger (or smaller) actual
employment is in the most recent time period
compared to what it would have been if the
industry had grown at the same rate as the indus-
try did across the nation. In practice, industries
identified as unique in the region through the
location quotient measure tend to be those that
have demonstrated a sustained period of eco-
nomic strength in the region, whereas those
identified by the growth differential measure can
be those starting to show some emerging
strength.
Table 4 presents the industries in the Coastal
Bend region that have a regional industry growth
differential greater than 1.25 and employed at
least 200 workers in 2000. The average annual
rate of employment growth in the industry from
1980 to 2000 in the Coastal Bend region is also
shown. The 1.25 cut-off point indicates that
industry employment in 2000 in the region was
25 percent larger than would have been expected
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Texas. Comptroller's Office. Texas Regional Outlook, 2002: The Coastal Bend Region, report, June 2002; Austin, Texas. (https://texashistory.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metapth654571/m1/20/?q=%221997~%22: accessed July 16, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, The Portal to Texas History, https://texashistory.unt.edu.; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.